Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis

Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis

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This book examines the consequences of misspecifications ranging from the fundamental to the nonexistent for the interpretation of likelihood-based methods of statistical estimation and interference. Professor White first explores the underlying motivation for maximum-likelihood estimation, treats the interpretation of the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE) for misspecified probability models, and gives the conditions under which parameters of interest can be consistently estimated despite misspecification, and the consequences of misspecification, for hypothesis testing in estimating the asymptotic covariance matrix of the parameters. Although the theory presented in the book is motivated by econometric problems, its applicability is by no means restricted to economics. Subject to defined limitations, the theory applies to any scientific context in which statistical analysis is conducted using approximate models.show more

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'... contains much material of interest to econometricians ... a useful source book for researchers, instructors and graduate students and essential reading for those interested in the effects of misspecification.' Econometric Theoryshow more

Table of contents

1. Introductory remarks; 2. Probability densities, likelihood functions and the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator; 3. Consistency of the QMLE; 4. Correctly specified models of density; 5. Correctly specified models of conditional expectation; 6. The asymptotic distribution of the QMLE and the information matrix equality; 7. Asymptotic efficiency; 8. Hypothesis testing and asymptotic covariance matrix estimation; 9. Specification testing via m-tests; 10. Applications of m-testing; 11. Information matrix testing; 12. Conclusion; Appendix 1. Elementary concepts of measure theory and the Radon-Nikodym theorem; Appendix 2. Uniform laws of large numbers; Appendix 3. Central limit theorems.show more

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