Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

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Description

Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles available from Wikipedia or other free sources online. The Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) provides an unbiased methodology for evaluating multiple competing hypotheses for observed data. It was developed by Richards (Dick) J. Heuer, Jr., a 45-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency, in the 1970s for use by the Agency and is used by analysts in various fields who make judgments that entail a high risk of error in reasoning. It helps an analyst overcome, or at least minimize, some of the cognitive limitations that make prescient intelligence analysis so difficult to achieve. ACH was indeed a step forward in intelligence analysis methodology, but it was first described in relatively informal terms.show more

Product details

  • Paperback | 124 pages
  • 152 x 229 x 7mm | 191g
  • Fer Publishing
  • United States
  • English
  • 6135816780
  • 9786135816785