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    Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? (Paperback) By (author) Keith Beven

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    DescriptionUncertainty in the predictions of science when applied to the environment is an issue of great current relevance in relation to the impacts of climate change, protecting against natural and man-made disasters, pollutant transport and sustainable resource management. However, it is often ignored both by scientists and decision makers, or interpreted as a conflict or disagreement between scientists. This is not necessarily the case, the scientists might well agree, but their predictions would still be uncertain and knowledge of that uncertainty might be important in decision making. Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? introduces students, scientists and decision makers to: * the different concepts and techniques of uncertainty estimation in environmental prediction * the philosophical background to different concepts of uncertainty * the constraint of uncertainties by the collection of observations and data assimilation in real-time forecasting * techniques for decision making under uncertainty. This book will be relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change. A companion website for the book can be found at www.uncertain-future.org.uk

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  • Full bibliographic data for Environmental Modelling

    Environmental Modelling
    An Uncertain Future?
    Authors and contributors
    By (author) Keith Beven
    Physical properties
    Format: Paperback
    Number of pages: 328
    Width: 173 mm
    Height: 244 mm
    Thickness: 18 mm
    Weight: 635 g
    ISBN 13: 9780415457590
    ISBN 10: 0415457599

    B&T Book Type: NF
    BIC E4L: ENV
    BISAC V2.8: TEC010000
    B&T Modifier: Region of Publication: 03
    BIC subject category V2: RN
    Nielsen BookScan Product Class 3: S8.3
    B&T Merchandise Category: SCI
    B&T General Subject: 710
    BISAC V2.8: SCI026000
    Warengruppen-Systematik des deutschen Buchhandels: 27610
    B&T Modifier: Academic Level: 02
    Ingram Subject Code: TE
    Abridged Dewey: 628
    DC22: 628
    Libri: I-TE
    BISAC V2.8: TEC009020
    LC subject heading: ,
    DC22: 333.7011
    LC classification: GE45.M37 B48 2009
    Thema V1.0: RN
    Edition statement
    Illustrations note
    1 black & white tables, 6 black & white halftones, 69 black & white line drawings
    Taylor & Francis Ltd
    Imprint name
    Taylor & Francis Ltd
    Publication date
    01 November 2008
    Publication City/Country
    Author Information
    Keith Beven is Professor of Hydrology and Fluid Dynamics at Lancaster University. While finishing this book he was at Uppsala University in Sweden as Konung Carl XVI Gustafs Gastprofessor i Miljovetenskap 2006/07.
    Table of contents
    1. How to Make Predictions 2. A Philosophical Diversion 3. Simulation with No Historical Data Available 4. Simulation with Historical Data Available 5. Forecasting the Near Future 6. Decision Making When Faced with Uncertainty 7. An Uncertain Future?