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    Unmaking the West: "What-if?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History (Hardback) Edited by Philip E. Tetlock, Edited by Ned Lebow, Edited by Geoffrey Parker

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    DescriptionWhat if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor game, counterfactual history is seen by others as indispensable historical tool. Taking as their point of inquiry the debate over the inevitability of the rise of the West, the eminent scholars in "Unmaking the West" argue that there is no escaping counterfactual history. Whenever we make claims of cause and effect, we commit ourselves to the assumption that if key links in the causal chain were broken, history would have unfolded otherwise. Likewise, without counterfactual history, we all too easily slip into the habit of hindsight bias, forgetting, as soon as we learn what happened, how unpredictable the world looked beforehand, and closing our minds to all the ways the course might have changed. This collection is thus both an exploration of alternative scenarios to world history and an exercise in testing the strengths and weaknesses of counterfactual experiments.


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  • Full bibliographic data for Unmaking the West

    Title
    Unmaking the West
    Subtitle
    "What-if?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History
    Authors and contributors
    Edited by Philip E. Tetlock, Edited by Ned Lebow, Edited by Geoffrey Parker
    Physical properties
    Format: Hardback
    Number of pages: 456
    Width: 152 mm
    Height: 229 mm
    Thickness: 31 mm
    Weight: 726 g
    Language
    English
    ISBN
    ISBN 13: 9780472115433
    ISBN 10: 047211543X
    Classifications

    B&T Book Type: NF
    BIC subject category V2: HBG
    BIC E4L: HIS
    Nielsen BookScan Product Class 3: T5.0
    LC subject heading:
    DC22: 909
    Libri: I-HP
    BISAC V2.8: HIS037000
    Ingram Subject Code: HP
    B&T General Subject: 431
    Warengruppen-Systematik des deutschen Buchhandels: 15520
    Abridged Dewey: 909
    B&T Merchandise Category: UP
    LC subject heading: , ,
    LC classification: D21.3 .U54 2006
    Thema V1.0: NHB
    Illustrations note
    5 maps, 1 figure
    Publisher
    The University of Michigan Press
    Imprint name
    The University of Michigan Press
    Publication date
    23 October 2006
    Publication City/Country
    Ann Arbor, MI
    Author Information
    Richard Ned Lebow is James O. Freedman Presidential Professor of Government at Dartmouth College and author of The Tragic Vision of Politics: Ethics, Interests and Orders, which won the Alexander L. George Award for the best book in political psychology. Geoffrey Parker is Andreas Dorpalen Professor of History at Ohio State University, a Fellow of the British Academy, and author of The Military Revolution: Military Innovation and the Rise of the West, 1500-1800, winner of two book prizes. Philip E. Tetlock is Professor of Organizational Behavior at the University of California, Berkeley, and author of Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?