Prosperity in the Age of Decline: How to Lead Your Business and Preserve Wealth Through the Coming Business Cycles

Prosperity in the Age of Decline: How to Lead Your Business and Preserve Wealth Through the Coming Business Cycles

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By (author) Brian Beaulieu, By (author) Alan Beaulieu

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  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
  • Format: Hardback | 240 pages
  • Dimensions: 160mm x 231mm x 30mm | 432g
  • Publication date: 15 August 2014
  • Publication City/Country: New York
  • ISBN 10: 1118809890
  • ISBN 13: 9781118809891
  • Illustrations note: black & white illustrations, black & white tables, figures
  • Sales rank: 375,754

Product description

A guide for protecting your wealth in an age of turbulent business cycles In Prosperity in the Age of Decline , Brian and Alan Beaulieu-the CEO and President of the Institute for Trend Research(R) (ITR)-offer an informed, meticulously-researched look at the future and the coming Great Depression. Drawing on ITR's 94.7% forecast accuracy rate, the book outlines specific, actionable strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and dodging economic danger. In this important resource, the authors reveal what it will take for individual investors and business leaders to prosper as the economy heats up prior to the predicted downturn, preserve wealth in the upcoming Great Depression, and profit on the way out of the depression. The imbalances and maladjustments have a while to play out and the authors pinpoint the investment opportunities to be had in the countdown period. The Beaulieu's examine the major economic trends at play, such as low interest rates, burgeoning government debt, and an aging population. They discuss which trends will last and what investors should do with this knowledge in order to thrive. The book also reviews the group of leading economic indicators that most consistently achieve reliable results for predicting where the economy is headed. Designed as a useful tool for investors, the book includes a working list of key trends, describes the upside potential of each trend, and explains the potential threat stemming from a particular trend. Understanding how to capitalize on these trends and knowing how to avoid the common pitfalls are the keys to creating a solid economic future for individual investors and business leaders. Contains the strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and avoiding economic dangers Offers an examination of major economic trends Includes information on the leading economic indicators that most reliably achieve results Shows how to preserve wealth and avoid the most common investing pitfalls This comprehensive resource offers guidelines for averting cyclical downturns and building on rising industry trends.

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Author information

BRIAN BEAULIEU is an economist, principal and CEO with ITR Economics (ITR). At ITR , Brian has been leading the charge in applied research regarding business cycle trend analysis and the utilization of that research at a practical business level. Brian consults with companies worldwide and has provided valuable insight to business owners and executives for 27 years with the result being increased profitability and greater awareness of business cycle opportunities. ALAN BEAULIEU is a principal and the President of ITR Economics . Alan is also the senior economic advisor to a variety of U.S. and European trade associations. He is the keynote speaker at corporate and trade association meetings worldwide where he provides a clear economics forecasts and proven profit-enhancing strategies to businesses across a wide spectrum of industries. Alans knowledge and expertise are in great demand, as evidenced by his extremely busy calendar that includes 120 speaking engagements a year.

Back cover copy

Protect your wealth in an age of turbulent business cyclesFrom Brian and Alan Beaulieu--the CEO and President of ITR Economics(TM) (ITR)--comes "Prosperity in the Age of Decline," the must-have resource for thriving in uncertain economic times. ITR has mastered long-term economic trend forecasting, with an astounding 94.7% accuracy rate over the course of six and a half decades."Prosperity in the Age of Decline" draws on the authors' proven expertise to provide business leaders and investors with accurate forecasts of how the economy will perform under forthcoming economic conditions. This important resource gives investors the information and strategies they need to make informed decisions and proactively plan in order to thrive before, during, and after the upcoming economic downturn.The book reveals how individual investors and business leaders can avoid common pitfalls while capitalizing on targeted economic trends in order to create a solid economic future. "Prosperity in the Age of Decline" includes the critical information that investors need to determine the direction of the economy, and offers advice for following both leading and lesser indicators that gives a complete and unassailable view of what lies ahead so investors can take action with conviction.Using "Prosperity in the Age of Decline" as a well-researched guide, investors will know where the economy is headed and have an understanding how their investments will be affected in order to substantially reduce uncertainty and significantly increase their competitive advantage.

Flap copy

If you could predict tomorrow's economy today, you would have a tremendous edge in the marketplace. In "Prosperity in the Age of Decline," Brian and Alan Beaulieu--the CEO and President of the ITR Economics(TM) (ITR)--offer an informed, meticulously researched look at the future and the coming Great Depression. Drawing on ITR's 94.7% forecast accuracy rate, the book outlines specific, actionable strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and dodging economic danger.In this important resource, the authors reveal what it will take for individual investors and business leaders to prosper as the economy heats up prior to the predicted downturn, preserve wealth in the upcoming Great Depression, and profit on the way out of the depression. The imbalances and maladjustments have a while to play out and the authors pinpoint the investment opportunities to be had in the countdown period.The Beaulieus' examine major economic trends such as low interest rates, burgeoning government debt, and an aging population, and discuss which trends will last and what investors should do with this knowledge in order to thrive. The book also reviews the group of leading economic indicators that most consistently achieve reliable results for predicting where the economy is headed.Designed as a useful tool for investors, the book includes a working list of key trends, describes the upside potential of each trend, and explains the potential threat stemming from a particular trend. Understanding how to capitalize on these opportunities and knowing how to avoid the common pitfalls are the keys to creating a solid economic future for individual investors and business leaders.With the information, strategies, and expert advice outlined in this vital resource, investors and business leaders around the world can tap into the same winning economic advice that global industry organizations, financial advisers, and banking institutions have come to rely on. The authors show how to identify key economic trends, to pinpoint when changes will occur, and to determine what actions to take to position for future growth. By following the guidelines outlined anyone can avert cyclical downturns and build on rising industry trends.

Table of contents

1 Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future 1 Where Not to Look 3 Confidence Indicators 3 Politics 8 Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries) 9 Newspapers and Media 15 ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy 16 2 The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won't Last 21 Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped 22 Today's Trends That Won't Last Forever 31 Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful 34 3 Preparing for Prosperity--Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough? 37 What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like? 39 4 Depression Driver: Demographics 45 More People, More Older People 47 Show Me the Money 53 Medicare and Social Security 58 Managing to Win 61 Probable Winners 65 (Potential) Losers 66 5 AWorld That Doesn't Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required 69 Inflation's Impacts 77 Five Sources of Inflation 80 Managing to Win 95 Winners and Losers 101 Appendix to Chapter 5 102 6 Sovereign Debt--Harmless or Toxic? Not Just an American Problem 105 A Global Perspective 106 Summary 114 7 A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World's Problem 117 Where Are We Now? 117 Where Are We Going? 122 State and Local Governments 125 Spreading the Pain around the World 127 Summary 129 8 Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029 131 Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs) 132 Calculating Rate-of-Change 132 Use the Metrics 133 9 Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle 141 Offense and Defense 141 Conflicting Messages 142 Don't Delay 143 Phase A Management Objectives 144 Let the Good Times Roll 147 Summary 151 10 Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates 153 Management Objectives 155 The Rules Are Changing 167 Summary 168 11 Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know 169 Energy Distribution 170 Printed Electronics 171 Mexico 172 Water Conservation and Distribution 173 Health Care 174 Vocational Education 176 3-D Printing 176 Housing 177 Security 177 Natural Resources 178 Food 179 Entertainment 180 12 Investing Based on Age and Trend 181 Some Commonalities 181 Different Markets--Different Times 185 How Old Are You? 192 13 How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression) 201 14 What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do 209 What Owners and Managers Must Do 209 Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do 211 15 Is There Hope? 215 What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030? 215 A Different View of the 1930s 218 A Different Future 218 Summary 219 Bibliography 221 Index 223