Mapping Policy Preferences from Texts: III: Statistical Solutions for Manifesto Analysts

Mapping Policy Preferences from Texts: III: Statistical Solutions for Manifesto Analysts


Edited by Andrea Volkens, Edited by Judith Bara, Edited by Ian Budge, Edited by Michael D. McDonald, Edited by Hans-Dieter Klingemann


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  • Publisher: Oxford University Press
  • Format: Hardback | 346 pages
  • Dimensions: 160mm x 240mm x 30mm | 680g
  • Publication date: 14 January 2014
  • Publication City/Country: Oxford
  • ISBN 10: 0199640041
  • ISBN 13: 9780199640041
  • Illustrations note: 51 Figures, 76 Tables
  • Sales rank: 1,332,610

Product description

The Manifesto data are the only comprehensive set of policy indicators for social, economic and political research. It is thus vital that their quality is established. The purpose of this book is to review methodological issues that have got in the way of straightforwardly using the Manifesto data since our two preceding volumes were published and to resolve them in ways which best serve users and textual analysts in general. The book is thus generally about text-based quantitative analysis with a particular focus on the quality of the CMP-MARPOR data and ways of assessing and using them, In doing so the book goes beyond normal data documentation - essential though that is - to confront the analytic issues faced by users of the data now distributed by MARPOR. It also provides concrete strategies for tackling these at the research level, with examples from the field of political representation. The problems of uncertainty, error, reliability and validity considered here are generic issues for political analysts in any area of research, so the book has an interest extending beyond the Manifesto estimates themselves - in particular to other textual analyses. In addition the book widens the range of applications introduced in our two previous volumes and discusses the extension of the manifesto project database to cover Latin America.

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Author information

The Manifesto Research Group (MRG) and its successors - the Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP) and Manifesto Research on Political Representation (MARPOR) - is an international project which has been collecting and analysing manifestos and platforms from over fifty post-war democracies for over forty years. It is now housed at the Wissenschaftszentrum, Berlin, with a long-term grant from the German Research Foundation (DFG). Having concentrated previously on OECD, EU and CEE countries, it is now extending its collection to Latin America and beyond. For further information please go to

Table of contents

Foreword ; Preface ; Introduction: Characterising the Data Correctly in Order to Measure them Accurately ; PART I: VALIDATED, AUTHORITATIVE, INDISPENSIBLE: THE MANIFESTO ESTIMATES IN POLITICAL RESEARCH ; 1. The Best Tools to Tackle the Job ; 2. Using The Manifesto Estimates to Correct Systematic 'Centring' Error in Expert and Electoral Positioning of Parties ; 3. Using The Manifesto Estimates to Refine Party Family Placements ; PART II: VALIDITY GUARANTEES RELIABILITY: HIGH RELIABILITY LIMITS ERROR ; 4. Validated Estimates versus Dodgy Adjustments: focusing excessively on Error Distorts Results ; 5. Understanding and Validating the Right-Left Scale (RILE) ; 6. Measuring Uncertainty and Error Directly From the End-Estimates ; PART III: DELIVERING QUALITY DATA: COLLECTION, CODING, CONTROLS, COMMUNICATION ; 7. Linking Uncertainty Measures to Document Selection and Coding ; 8. What are Manifestos for? Selecting and Typing Documents for the Database ; 9. Coder Training: Key to Enhancing Coding Reliability and Estimate Validity ; 10. Data Entry and Access: Introducing the Manifesto Project Database (MPDb) ; 11. From Data to Inference and Back Again: Perspectives from Content Analysis ; PART IV: EXPLOITING THE MULTI-LEVEL ESTIMATES TO STUDY REPRESENTATION COMPARATIVELY ; 12. Parties and Citizens: Representation over 28 Countries ; 13. Linking Data-Sets from Party to Individual Levels in order to Evaluate Congruence Measures Comparatively ; 14. Presidential versus Parliamentary Representation: Extending Manifesto Estimates to Latin America